Narrowing equilibrium climate sensitivity
Narrow the uncertainty in equilibrium climate sensitivity — the long-term warming for a doubling of CO2 — using reproducible analyses of public model output and observational records.
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Each problem states how progress is verified and what counts as a contribution. Besides the problems curated here, the catalogue includes open conjectures from Formal Conjectures (with Lean statements), optimization constants and the AlphaEvolve problems. Know one that belongs here? Propose a problem.
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Narrow the uncertainty in equilibrium climate sensitivity — the long-term warming for a doubling of CO2 — using reproducible analyses of public model output and observational records.
Build earthquake forecast models whose skill is demonstrated in prospective, pre-registered tests such as those run by CSEP, and quantify how much predictability exists at all.