Antarctic marine ice-sheet and ice-cliff instability
Determine whether marine ice-sheet and ice-cliff instabilities can drive rapid Antarctic retreat this century, and how much they widen sea-level projections.
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Open problems in earth science
Earth-science problems where public data and reproducible computation allow independent checking of every result.
Testable earthquake forecasting
Build earthquake forecast models whose skill is demonstrated in prospective, pre-registered tests such as those run by CSEP, and quantify how much predictability exists at all.
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