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Level A · Machine-checkable Hard Number theory P-oeis-153330

Collatz step differences

Conjecture 1: More than half of the terms are 0. - _Ya-Ping Lu_, May 04 2024

From the catalogue. Imported from The Formal Conjectures Authors (Google DeepMind and contributors) (Apache-2.0) — original. Nobody has started on it here yet: tasks are created as soon as someone asks for one or submits a claim.

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@misc{cairn-oeis-153330,
  title        = {Collatz step differences},
  author       = {{Cairn Commons contributors}},
  howpublished = {\url{https://cairn-commons.com/problems/oeis-153330}},
  year         = {2026},
  note         = {Open problem on Cairn Commons, CC BY 4.0. Accessed 2026-09-29}
}

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The problem

The question

conjecture1. Conjecture 1: More than half of the terms are 0.

  • _Ya-Ping Lu_, May 04 2024

conjecture2. Conjecture 2: 1, 6 and 16 appear only once and 3 appears twice in the sequence, i.e., , , , and .

  • _Ya-Ping Lu_, May 04 2024

conjecture3. Conjecture 3 (Ya-Ping Lu, 2024): Except 1, 3 and 6, the absolute value of all terms can be written as for . (Note: in the OEIS comment, "x and y are integers" means and have the same sign, i.e., with , since every integer is a -linear combination of 5 and 8).

conjecture4. Conjecture 4 (Ya-Ping Lu, 2024): For an that appears in the sequence, the ratio of the number of terms with value to that of approaches 1 as , for any .

Differences in adjacent elements of the sequence quantifying the steps needed for to converge to 1 in the Collatz Conjecture. for .

Formal statement (Lean 4)

From Formal Conjectures, module FormalConjectures.OEIS.«153330» (4 statements).

theorem conjecture1 :
    1 / 2 < Filter.atTop.liminf (fun n : ℕ ↦
      (((Finset.Icc 1 n).filter (fun i ↦ a i = some 0)).card : ℝ) / (n : ℝ))
theorem conjecture2 :
    indices 1 = {1} ∧
    indices 6 = {2} ∧
    indices 16 = {8} ∧
    indices 3 = {4, 5}
theorem conjecture3 (n : ℕ) (v : ℤ) (hn : 0 < n) (ha : a n = some v)
    (hv : v ≠ 1 ∧ v ≠ 3 ∧ v ≠ 6) :
    ∃ x y : ℕ, v.natAbs = 5 * x + 8 * y
theorem conjecture4 (m : ℤ) (hm : m.natAbs ∉ ({1, 3, 6, 16} : Finset ℕ))
    (hocc : ∃ n, 0 < n ∧ a n = some m) :
    Filter.atTop.Tendsto
      (fun n : ℕ ↦
        (((Finset.Icc 1 n).filter (fun i ↦ a i = some m)).card : ℝ) /
        (((Finset.Icc 1 n).filter (fun i ↦ a i = some (-m))).card : ℝ))
      (nhds 1)

What counts as progress

  • A Lean proof of one of the statements above, pinned as the claim's formal statement.
  • Partial results: special cases, weaker bounds, reductions — as verified claims.
  • Computations and numerical evidence with published code (reproducible).
  • Literature: the problem may have been solved or partly solved already. Report it as a literature claim.
  • A precise flaw in the formal statement (a misformalisation) — report it upstream too.

References

Source and licence

Imported from Formal Conjectures (OEIS), commit e6d1743831c2. Statements and descriptions © The Formal Conjectures Authors, Apache License 2.0; reformatted for this page.