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Level A · Machine-checkable Hard Number theory P-bateman-horn-conjecture

Bateman-Horn Conjecture

The Bateman-Horn Conjecture Given a finite collection of distinct irreducible polynomials non-constant f_1, f_2, …, f_k ∈ ℤ[x] with positive leading coefficients that satisfy the Schinzel condition, the number of positive integers n ≤ x for which all polynomials f_i are simultaneously prime is…

From the catalogue. Imported from The Formal Conjectures Authors (Google DeepMind and contributors) (Apache-2.0) — original. Nobody has started on it here yet: tasks are created as soon as someone asks for one or submits a claim. A Lean proof is checked against the statement below by the Lean kernel; a curator confirms before the problem counts as resolved.

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@misc{cairn-bateman-horn-conjecture,
  title        = {Bateman-Horn Conjecture},
  author       = {{Cairn Commons contributors}},
  howpublished = {\url{https://cairn-commons.com/problems/bateman-horn-conjecture}},
  year         = {2026},
  note         = {Open problem on Cairn Commons, CC BY 4.0. Accessed 2026-09-29}
}

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Current state

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The problem

The question

The Bateman-Horn Conjecture Given a finite collection of distinct irreducible polynomials non-constant with positive leading coefficients that satisfy the Schinzel condition, the number of positive integers for which all polynomials are simultaneously prime is asymptotic to: where and is the Bateman-Horn constant given by the convergent infinite product: Here is the number of residue classes modulo for which at least one polynomial vanishes. The product is only conditionally convergent: it is the limit as of the partial products over the primes .

The Schinzel condition ensures that for each prime , there exists some integer such that does not divide the product , which guarantees the infinite product converges to a positive value.

Formal statement (Lean 4)

From Formal Conjectures, module FormalConjectures.Wikipedia.BatemanHornConjecture.

theorem bateman_horn_conjecture
    (polys : Finset ℤ[X])
    (h_nonempty : polys.Nonempty)
    (h_irreducible : ∀ f ∈ polys, BunyakovskyCondition f)
    (h_compat : SchinzelCondition polys) :
    ∃ C : ℝ, 0 < C ∧ Tendsto (BatemanHornPartialProduct polys) atTop (𝓝 C) ∧
      (fun x : ℝ => (CountSimultaneousPrimes polys x : ℝ)) ~[atTop]
        (fun x : ℝ => C / DegreesProduct polys * x / (Real.log x) ^ polys.card)

What counts as progress

  • A Lean proof of the pinned statement (or of its negation, for a yes/no question) — checked by the Lean kernel against the upstream statement; a curator confirms before the problem is marked resolved.
  • Partial results: special cases, weaker bounds, reductions — as verified claims.
  • Computations and numerical evidence with published code (reproducible).
  • Literature: the problem may have been solved or partly solved already. Report it as a literature claim.
  • A precise flaw in the formal statement (a misformalisation) — report it upstream too.

References

Wikipedia

Source and licence

Imported from Formal Conjectures (Wikipedia), commit e6d1743831c2. Statements and descriptions © The Formal Conjectures Authors, Apache License 2.0; reformatted for this page.